A typical mobile data traffic day in Europe资料.pptx

De-risking the Broadband Business ModelIndustry Outlook 2012 , November 24th 2011, London.
Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen, Technology EconomicsTechnology, Deutsche Telekom.
Changing business models …
2
Mobile Operator
Garden
CS Voice
SMS
Mobile Data
Network
SIM
Billing
50 – 700
MHz
Cloud
SIM
“New”
Billing
Whitespace
OTT Apps
Coolstuff
Smartdevices
Regulation
Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen, Industry Outlook 2012, November 24th 2011, London, UK.
A typical mobile data traffic day in Europe.
3
Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen, Industry Outlook 2012, November 24th 2011, London, UK.
00:00
10:00
12:00
22:00
17:00
Illustration
6:00
8:00
voice
data
***@Work
***@Home
On the
Go
***@Home
On the
Go
EU Broadband for All & Everything… Digital Agenda Europe 2020.
4
2013
+2 yrs
2011
now
All Europeans have access to Broadband
(wireless)
All have access to
30 Mbps
or higher.
2020
+9 yrs
50+% HH subscribe to 100 Mbps.
<80%
HSPA pop coverage
60% 3G adaptation
<20% HSPA adaptation
<95%
DSL
coverage
<50% cable coverage
FTTx
>20%
+
100% LTE
+
FTT-eNB
+
>50%
FTTH
/
DOCSISx
Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen, Industry Outlook 2012, November 24th 2011, London, UK.
+ IoT 1
1 IoT = of Things.
Closing coverage gap
Digital Agenda Europe 2020 ... What does it mean.
5
By 2013 at least 30k HSPA BTS to cover the EU 20+% pop gap.
By 2020 most (if not all) base stations support LTE advanced (<200K×2).
More than 100 million HH connected to fibre by 2020.
FTTH Investment >15 today’s fixed broadband earnings.
Dr. Kim Kyllesbech Larsen, Industry Outlook 2012, November 24th 2011, London, UK.
-of-Things (IoT) Network for the 15+ Billion projected devices1
1 In Europe for every mobile device there will be 20+ IoT devices in 2020.
900 MHz
2×35 MHz
(GSM)
1800 MHz
2×75 MHz
(GSM)
2100 MHz
2×60 MHz
3G core band
3G
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
5
2600 MHz
2×70 MHz + 50 MHz (TDD)
(Tech neutral)
70
Spectrum challenge 2012 - Pre-auction days.
page 6
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FBO 1
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F