《国际贸易问题》2013年第6期 服务贸易与货物贸易对我国收入差距扩大的影响及比较注:本文是范爱军主持的教育部规划基金项目“国际技术扩散对中国制造业技术进步和产业结构升级的影响研究”的阶段性成果,项目批准号:10YJA790044;本文得到山东大学“985工程”三期创新基地建设项目资助。 范爱军卞学字 (山东大学经济学院济南 250100) parative analysis of the effects of trade in goods and service on China’s e gap Fan Ai-jun Bian Xue-zi (Economic school of Shandong University, Jinan 250100) Abstract:The international trade of China experienced a rapid growth since the Reform and Opening-up, the e gap, especially gap between urban and rural areas is also getting expanded during these years. This paper tries to do an empirical analysis with the introduction of several control variables using annual data of 1982 to 2011. We find that the development of trade in goods will first reduce the e gap and enlarge it. In contrast, e gap is getting enlarged at first and then narrowed with the development of trade in service. Other factors such as level of educational development induce significant effect on the urban-rural e gap either. Then, we have proposed some suggestions based on our empirical results. Key words:Trade in goods;Trade in services; e gap;Marginal effect 服务贸易与货物贸易对我国收入差距扩大的影响及比较 摘要:改革开放30多年来,伴随对外贸易的迅速发展,我国收入差距尤其是城乡居民收入差距不断扩大。本文利用我国1982——2011年的年度数据、引入多个控制变量的实证分析结果表明:货物贸易的发展会使收入差距先减少后扩大,而服务贸易的发展则使得收入差距先扩大后缩小,同时教育发展水平等因素也对城乡收入差距有显著影响。笔者在对研究结论做出成因分析后,提出部分有针对性的政策建议。 关键词:货物贸易;服务贸易;收入差距;边际影响 一、引言 自上世纪80年代初实施对外开放战略以来,我国对外贸易飞速发展,