毕业论文--当前房价问题聚类分析.doc

本科生毕业论文(设计) 当前房价问题聚类分析姓名陈真学号 20104110211 专业统计学指导教师王洪霞 2014 年5月 25日 I 摘要房价上涨是近年来社会广泛关注的一个热点问题,房价上涨的持续性以及房价过快上涨的危害是大家关注的重点。房价是否合理,是否已经超过了民众的购买能力,仅仅通过表面观察和凭空想象是不能回答这些问题的,要通过科学的研究方法才能得出合理的结论。本文首先用两组数据,引出房价上涨问题。然后, 简单介绍以下聚类分析方法,包括聚类分析的概念、特征和一般步骤。再选取当前我国 35 个大城市为研究对象,选择一些与房价关系较密切的有代表性的经济指标,选择指标时要注意考虑到指标的合理性以及数据获得的可能性。最后运用 SPSS 统计软件对其进行聚类分析,并对聚类分析的结果进行分析,得出相应的对策并提出合理的建议。关键词:房价;指标;聚类分析 II A bstract The problem of house price isahot and popular topic in recent years . C ontinu ation of house price increase and its harm is the focus of public attention. W hether the house price is reasonable and whether it is too high to exceed the purchasing power of the people , cannot be answered just by surface observation and imagin ation. Firstly, with the two sets of data, this paper leads to the problem of house price increase . Then, this paper gives a brief introduction of the cluster analysis, including the concept, features and general steps of cluster analysis. Then this paper select s35 cities for the study object, and select s some representative economic indicators that are relatively close with the house price considering the reasonableness and the possibility of obtaining data . Finally, using SPSS statistical software this paper analyze s the results of cluster analysis, obtains the corresponding countermeasures and puts forwards the reasonable suggestions. Key Words : house prices; indicator; cluster analysis III 目录摘要............................................................................................................................. I A bstract .......................................................................................................................... II 一、引言...................................................................................................................... 1 (一)房价上涨问题的提出...................................................................................... 1 (二)研究思路和方法..................................................................