FuturepoliciesforruralEurope:–February292008Ruraldevelopment–everyonesupportsit,but…..…therhetorichasconsistentlyoutstrippedtherealityintermsofrealpoliticalsupportforruralpolicyintheEUForexample–theglobalEURuralDevelopmentbudgetfor2007-missionproposal- €(2004prices)Councilagreement–€(2004prices)=shortfallof€19bn–%Istherethepoliticalwilltomakeupthiskindofshortfallafter2014?Prospectsfor2008Secondyearofaseven-yearcycle…butchangesarebeingplannedonceagain2008is:TheYearoftheCAPHealthCheckButitisalso….TheYearthatEuropesuddenlyre-discoveredagriculture!!Willhighpricesandthenewfocusonagriculturalsupplieschangetheparametersfordebateonruraldevelopment?AtimetableforchangeNovember2007:‘municationpublishedMay2008:Legalproposalsfor‘HealthCheck’tobetabledDecember2008?:CouncilagreementonHealthCheckproposals2009/10:DebatebeginsoverEUbudgetreview2011/12:EUleadersreachagreementonnewfinancialbasisforEUJanuary12014:Anewerabegins….??missionerFischerBoeldeterminedtomakemoremoneyavailableforruraldevelopmentButshare-outbetweenPillar1andPillar2setinstoneuntil2013Thesolution:-ahigherrateofmodulationModulationMoneytakenawayfromdirectaidpayments–andtransferredto‘secondpillar’budgetFirst€5,000ofSFPforeachfarmernotliabletomodulation–hencemajorityofindividualfarmersnotaffectedCEECsnotaffecteduntil2013Modulationratesetat5%from2007onwardsProjectedextra€‘secondpillar’by2011CAP‘HealthCheck’missionseekingmorefundsforPillar2–particularlytodealwith‘newchallenges’–,pulsorymodulationproposed:7%in20109%in201111%in201213%in2013Planswouldcreateafurtherextra€2billionayearforPillar2by2013‘HealthCheck’–es(1)epttargetmodulationrateof13%.Ambitionlikelytobehalvedbyministers:.:6%in20107%in20118%in20129%in2013MEPshavesuggestedmergingmodulationandaidcappingplans–mightahigherrateofmodulationapplyforbiggerfarmers?missionbeforefinalproposalstabledonMay20.‘H
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