国家宏观调控下房地产泡沫的测度指标研究（可复制毕业论文）.pdf

中文摘要
摘要
近年来,我国关于房地产市场出现泡沫的舆论逐渐增多,特别是今年上半年
国家从宏观层面上对房地产市场连续出台了调控政策,使房地产市场是否存在泡
沫成为了人们争论的焦点。建设部等七部委最近一段时期要求进一步加强对建设
用地和开发项目监管,严格控制豪宅的审批量,鼓励建设经济适用房;央行也对
其下属的各个商业银行的房地产金融业务进行大检查并强调:房地产价格上涨、
空置面积增加的潜在风险值得关注;各个商业银行在支持房地产业发展的同时,
要切实加强房地产业金融信贷管理,警惕房地产泡沫的出现。
鉴于此,本文作者在收集整理了大量的国内外有关房地产泡沫资料的基础上,
结合近几年来的国家当前一系列的宏观政策,分析了房地产泡沫的产生原因、房
地产市场的各个利益相关者在泡沫形成与泡沫破灭时期的作用;阐述了房地产泡
沫对于国民经济的影响;并且根据国内外专家学者对于房地产泡沫的研究给出了
房地产泡沫的一个便于计量的定义;同时运用计量经济学、数理经济学的方法对
于房地产泡沫的测度指标进行了详细的分析与研究,指出了这些测度指标中关键
要素;在本文的第五章运用房地产泡沫的测度指标对重庆市房地产市场进行了实
证性的分析与研究,得出初步结论;作为本论文的结尾,第六章根据房地产泡沫
生成的原因与测度指标中主要因素的分析提出了防范房地产泡沫的若干建议。
关键词:房地产泡沫,国家宏观调控,测度指标,政策建议
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英文摘要
ABSTRACT
There has been a more and more large body of academic and industry research on
real estate bubbles in recent years including the warning from the central government.
Specially early this year country continuously has appeared the regulative policy from
the macroscopic control the real estate market, causes our country real estate market
whether had the Real estate bubbles e the focuses of the people. “Policy
Oriented”presented by Construction Ministry requires that the inspection of land for
construction and the project should be strengthened, and should strictly control the
approvals of luxury housing construction and encourage the building of economic
housing. Last year, the Central Bank inspected the business of real estate finance of
commercial banks and emphasized that we should pay attention to the risk involved in
the rising of real estate price and increasing of vacancy. mercial banks should
strengthen the credit loan management and look out the real estate bubbles when
supporting the development of real estate industry. The real estate industry has been one
of the hottest topics. The evidence of real estate boom seems to be more and more
distinct.
Thus, on the basis of collection of the information on the real estate bubbles from
the home and abroad, and unifies with in the last few years national macroscopic