经济损害水平与经济阈值.doc

经济损害水平与经济阈值 THE KEYS TO DISEASE MANAGEMENT From 《 Epidemiology and Plant Disease Management 》 by Jan C. Zadoks, Richard D. Schein. New York 1979. p350-353 Let us define disease management as the total of all actions , intentional ornot , that serve to regulate disease 1evels so that they remain below the economic thresho1d 1evel ; the actions can be directed toward a single disease or toward all diseases threatening a crop ; the actions may or may not fin toa system of supervised or even integrated contro1 ; disease management and pest management are parts of crop management , but they may demand a specific expertise . Development ofa disease management program depends on knowledge of three areas : crop economics, population dynamics, and disease control technology, With crop economics, we leave the area of natural sciences and enter an area where value judgments pertain . Although the individual ’s value judgment may be highly subjective, the science of economics dealing with large groups of individuals isnot so. It is the economist who studies the financial aspects of crop losses . For detailed discussions , refer to the appropriate literature (Carlson , 1971 ; Carlson & Main , 1976 ; Ordish & Dufour , 1969) . Economic considerations are crucial in the process leading toa decision for or against action ; Value judgments by authorities , consumers , merchants , and farmers pla