数据分析模板.ppt

1. Thailand - Electricity Consumption and GDP Growth
The economy grew %/yr. and electricity demand %/yr.
1. Thailand - Electricity Consumption and GDP Growth
The economy grew %/yr. and electricity demand %/yr.
2. Thailand – Increase of Generation vs. NT2
3. Interim Results of Least-Cost Risk Analysis
Overall NPV versus no NT2: USD 269 million
4. The Economic Value Chain
End-use gWh times price =
Consumer WTP
Minus marginal
Transmission &
Distribution cost
Minus NT2
Investment,
O&M and E&S
management cost
power value-added
=
5. Investment Cost (Financial)
6. NT2 vs CCGT (Commercial)
Inner-boxed CCGT prices show NT2 and gas very close commercial competitors.
7. Cash Flow From Operations
Debt service
Non-GoL Dividends
GoL dividends
Royalty
Tax
8. Real Present Value Returns of and to Capital
GoL Equity: 25%; GoL returns: 43% of returns to all shareholders
9. Lao PDR Cumulative Returns
Lao returns cumulate to USD ~ billion; Present Value of ~ USD 250 million at 10% DR
10. Summary of Interim Findings
1. Based on real resource costs (no taxes and sunk costs), NT2 is least-cost electricity; compared with CCGT the cost difference is large enough for NT2 to “absorb” taxes, royalties and commercial returns to