轨道交通线路公交配套规划研究.doc

摘要
随着城市的发展,国内多个城市为了缓解交通拥堵的状况,提出了以轨道交通为骨干,地面公交为主体的公共交通体系,并付诸于实施。城市轨道交通具有快速、准时、运量大、无污染等优点,但是其适合于干道交通,在灵活性、可达性与方便性方面较差,而地面公交却可以很好的解决这方面的问题,因此结合城市轨道交通的常规公交配套势必将成为未来城市公共交通的发展方向。在国内低密度轨道交通线网的背景下,合理规划轨道交通线路配套的常规公交系统不仅可以更好地为轨道集疏客流量,满足乘客的交通需求,还为建立一个快捷、舒适、平衡的公共交通体系,促进城市交通的可持续发展提供有利条件。
本文首先介绍轨道交通及地面常规公交的特点,并对其技术特征进行分析,阐述二者结合的必要性;接着结合轨道交通和地面常规公交的特点及技术特征研究并分析轨道交通线路公交配套规划的原则,总结轨道线路公交配套规划的标准,并在此基础上从划分不同类别的区域开始着手,研究不同区域内轨道线路和公交线路的关系,分析轨道交通线路公交配套规划的方法,再结合对国内外轨道交通线路公交配套规划的实例分析,总结并分析现状存在的问题,并提出本文要重点解决的问题——传统的四阶段法在客流预测的过程中需要大量的OD基础数据,工作过程繁琐;然后针对本文要重点解决的问题,首次将交通小区常住人口以及周边社会机构数两个因素引入到预测模型中来,并将基于集计方法的四阶段法与基于非集计方法的Logit模型进行了有效融合,得出改进的四阶段法;最后以重庆市轨道六号线二期公交配套规划为例进行轨道交通线路公交配套规划,并在客流预测部分对原有和改进四阶段法比较分析,验证改进方法的实用性及有效性。
关键词:轨道交通;公交配套;客流预测;四阶段法
ABSTRACT
As cities grow, the domestic cities in order to alleviate the traffic situation, put forward by rail transit as the backbone, ground transportation as the main public transport system, and put into practice. Urban rail transit is fast, punctual, great volume, pollution, etc, but its suitable for roads with traffic flow, flexibility, accessibility and convenience in terms of poor, and ground transportation but can solve this issue, so with urban rail transit bus package is bound to e the future direction of development of urban public transport. Low-density rail work in the domestic context, rational planning of conventional rail transit line supporting public transport system can not only better for the track set sparse traffic, to meet the transport needs muters, but also for a fast, comfortable, balanced public transport system, and promote the sustainable development of urban transport advantages.
This paper describes the ground rail and the characteristics of conventional bus and analysis of its technical characteristics, explain the need for bination of both; bined rail and bus transport, surface characteristics and technical characteristics and analysis of rail transit line transit planning package principle, summed up the rail track su