神经网络模型和Cox比例风险模型在生存分析中应用的比较.pdf

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第 10 卷第 1 期江西农业大学学报社会科学版 Vol. 10 No. 1
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2011 年 03 月 Journal of Jiangxi Agricultural University Mar. 2011

文章编号 1671 - 6523 2011 01 - 0006 - 07
新生代农民工就业
稳定性及其影响因素的实证分析
陈昭玖,艾勇波,邓莹,朱红根
江西农业大学经济与贸易学院,江西南昌 330045
摘要新生代农民工已成为农民工的主体,其就业稳定性值得关注。通过对新生代农民工就业情况的调研,并
对调研数据采用 Logit 模型对新生代农民工就业稳定性的影响因素进行实证分析。结果表明,新生代农民工的
就业特征与传统农民工相比存在较大的差异,普遍表现出就业稳定性差的现象新生代农民工就业稳定性受年
龄、择业机会识别、工资、企业用工环境等多种因素的影响。其中,年龄、工资、企业用工环境与新生代农民工就
业稳定性呈正相关,择业机会识别与新生代农民工就业稳定性呈负相关。
关键词新生代农民工就业稳定性就业特征 Logit 模型
中图分类号 F323. 6 文献标志码 A
The Empirical Analysis on the Employment Stability and
Its Influencing Factors of the New Generation Migrant Workers
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CHEN Zhao-jiu AI Yong-bo DENG Ying ZHU Hong-gen
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College of Economics and Trade Jiangxi Agricultural University Nanchang 330045 China

Abstract The new generation migrant workers have e the main part of migrant workers in China
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whose employment stability deserves special attention. This paper based on data from a survey of their em-
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ployment analyzes factors influencing their employment stability by adopting the Logit model. The analysis
shows that there exists a big difference in terms of the employment characteristics between the new generation
migrant workers and the traditional migrant workers. Most of the new generation suffer from poor employment
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stability. Their employment stability is affected by factors including age capabilities to grasp career opportuni-
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ties wages and working environment. Among them age wages working environment are positively related
while career opportunities recognition is negatively correlated.

Key words new generation migrant workers employment stability Logit model
新生代农民工又被称为“第二代农民工”、 20 世纪 90 年代末开始进城务工的农民工。2008
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“新一代农民工”、“青年农民工”、“新农民工”和年国际金融危机爆发以来新生代农民工这一群
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“1. 5 代农民工”等一般指出生于 1980 年以后体的就业问题充分暴露出来并持续影响着整个
收稿日期 2011 - 01 - 10 修回日期 2011 - 02 - 20
基金项目国家社会科学基金项目 09BJY067 、国家自然科学基金项目 70963005 和教育部人文社科基金项目
09YJC79