我国大宗农产品 价格波动的影响因素研究述评.pdf

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第 10 卷第 1 期江西农业大学学报社会科学版 Vol. 10 No. 1
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2011 年 03 月 Journal of Jiangxi Agricultural University Mar. 2011

文章编号 1671 - 6523 2011 01 - 0123 - 04
我国大宗农产品
价格波动的影响因素研究述评
黄先明1 ,邱晓平2
1. 江西财经大学国际经贸学院,江西南昌 330013 2. 江西财经大学金融与统计学院,江西南昌 330013
摘要有关农产品价格波动影响因素,国内外研究相当丰富。国内研究主要是从价格波动的原因出发进行分
析,进而着重讨论农产品价格波动带来的影响,在此基础上判断未来农产品价格的长期趋势并提出相应的政策
建议。国外研究侧重于农产品价格波动对全球经济的影响,并借助新的模型工具,得出了一些比较具体的结
论。拟在通过重点梳理国内外相关研究的基础上,指出我国大宗农产品价格波动影响因素研究的方向。
关键词农产品价格波动影响因素
中图分类号 F323. 7 文献标志码 A
Review on Factors Affecting the Fluctuation
of Bulk modities Price in China
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HUANG Xian-ming QIU Xiao-ping
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1. College of International Economics and Trade JXUFE Nanchang 330013 China 2. College of Fi-
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nance and Statistics JXUFE Nanchang 330013 China
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Abstract Much research has been conducted on factors affecting the price of modities both at
home and abroad. The domestic research mainly explores the reason for the fluctuation of modities
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prices discusses the influence brought about by the fluctuation and tries to predict the long - term trend of
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modities price and put forward some policy proposal. On the other hand the overseas research tends
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to focus on the influence of farm price fluctuation on global economy and some concrete conclusions have
been drawn by adopting new models and tools. This paper points out the research directi